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Red130
186821.7
39931.4
138827.9
Blue62
359827.7
145822.2
85214.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83610204010012014016013062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#11
31.40.8
30.931.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
27.70.0
27.827.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1388
#15
27.90.9
27.428.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1868
#32
21.70.9
21.222.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
852
#25
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto
Teleop
End