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Red82
69634.9
347644.6
414017.7
Blue77
20727.6
263716.6
392526.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101650501502008277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.2
43.943.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
207
#13
27.60.1
27.527.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
696
#14
34.90.2
34.233.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
26.70.1
26.526.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4140
#25
17.70.2
16.916.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2637
#18
16.60.1
16.516.6
Auto
Teleop
End