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Red31
96820.5
68715.4
248555.5
Blue33
113826.9
414017.7
41609.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90370501001502003133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.52.6
50.347.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.6
1138
#11
26.90.6
23.322.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
968
#32
20.54.3
15.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
4140
#25
17.71.1
15.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
687
#47
15.42.6
15.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
4160
#40
9.00.6
7.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End