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Red20
69110.9
34532.6
249316.4
Blue64
351227.5
248631.8
325528.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17940501502064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2493
#26
16.40.5
16.716.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
31.80.9
30.529.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
691
#27
10.90.5
9.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.4
3255
#17
28.30.9
26.825.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3453
#48
2.60.5
3.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.9
3512
#10
27.50.9
24.923.9
Auto
Teleop
End