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Red0
96820.5
47055.2
347313.4
Blue16
5857.1
34532.6
40199.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions441506080100120016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#32
20.53.3
18.014.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
4019
#34
9.00.3
5.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3473
#35
13.43.3
11.78.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
585
#37
7.10.3
10.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4705
#42
5.21.0
5.26.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
3453
#48
2.60.2
3.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End