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Red52
248555.5
432230.1
32958.1
Blue36
69634.9
248631.8
473614.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9574501502005236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.52.0
47.745.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.6
696
#14
34.92.1
29.427.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4322
#15
30.12.0
30.328.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
31.82.1
29.627.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3295
#22
8.13.3
13.310.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
4736
#19
14.83.4
18.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End