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Red30
35219.7
364719.4
20299.4
Blue57
162220.8
44709.0
414017.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414902060801001201403057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#24
19.40.6
19.819.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
20.80.5
21.822.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3521
#45
9.70.9
10.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
4140
#25
17.70.7
16.417.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2029
#30
9.40.6
11.811.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
4470
#41
9.00.7
9.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End