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Red40
20727.6
41149.6
126614.3
Blue52
414.5
162220.8
249316.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515135404555606570754052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#13
27.60.6
28.628.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
20.80.1
22.222.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1266
#33
14.30.6
14.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2493
#26
16.40.1
17.717.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4114
#44
9.60.8
8.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
4
#20
14.50.1
11.011.0
Auto
Teleop
End