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Red77
113826.9
325528.3
263716.6
Blue86
69634.9
392526.7
347313.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70714060801001207786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#17
28.30.3
28.228.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
696
#14
34.90.8
32.433.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1138
#11
26.90.3
26.727.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
26.70.8
25.626.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2637
#18
16.60.3
16.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
3473
#35
13.41.0
12.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End