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Red40
39933.9
21933.8
416110.2
Blue32
47115.2
25446.3
39676.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49470204060801004032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#2
33.90.6
26.926.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
254
#18
46.31.4
33.231.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4161
#50
10.20.6
13.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
3967
#59
6.31.4
8.26.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2193
#46
3.80.6
6.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
4711
#52
5.21.4
6.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End