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Red31
30217.4
392517.9
325524.6
Blue21
39676.3
334118.8
254324.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36351020304050603121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#21
24.60.4
11.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2543
#32
24.11.1
14.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3925
#19
17.90.4
11.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3341
#33
18.81.1
10.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3021
#44
7.40.4
13.112.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3967
#59
6.31.1
9.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End