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Red89
325524.6
396525.7
473815.6
Blue52
348012.2
440119.5
9809.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443102060801008952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3965
#20
25.73.9
20.424.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
4401
#12
19.51.6
11.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3255
#21
24.63.9
10.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
3480
#27
12.21.6
10.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4738
#29
15.63.9
11.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
980
#36
9.01.6
10.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End