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Red25
47115.2
126612.0
233916.9
Blue6
249616.6
28395.6
46739.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33350206080100256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2339
#40
16.90.7
13.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2496
#28
16.62.4
17.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1266
#31
12.00.7
11.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4673
#38
9.22.4
13.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4711
#52
5.20.7
7.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2839
#51
5.62.4
4.21.8
Auto
Teleop
End