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Red3
21933.8
348612.9
113823.1
Blue34
172623.2
46739.2
20297.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3836010203050607080334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#56
23.12.7
15.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1726
#25
23.20.3
16.316.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3486
#22
12.92.7
11.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
4673
#38
9.22.0
11.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2193
#46
3.82.7
9.46.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
2029
#45
7.40.3
11.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End