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Red7
37495.3
41607.9
30217.4
Blue53
364715.4
416110.2
59928.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3248020406080100753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4160
#48
7.92.3
15.012.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.7
599
#13
28.70.6
22.222.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3021
#44
7.42.3
14.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
3647
#30
15.40.6
12.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3749
#55
5.32.3
5.33.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
4161
#50
10.20.6
10.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End