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Red10
46739.2
46166.9
151512.8
Blue153
25446.3
298440.0
334118.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22810406010012014010153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#37
12.81.8
13.912.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.5
254
#18
46.36.8
32.539.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4673
#38
9.21.8
8.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.8
40.06.8
28.235.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4616
#54
6.91.8
8.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
3341
#33
18.86.8
11.117.9
Auto
Teleop
End