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Red34
254324.1
416110.2
46166.9
Blue43
458312.6
440119.5
44864.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46310204060801003443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#32
24.10.7
27.526.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
4401
#12
19.50.8
17.818.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4161
#50
10.20.7
9.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
12.60.8
11.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4616
#54
6.90.7
6.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4486
#43
4.00.8
4.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End