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Red10
34533.8
39676.3
233916.9
Blue54
39528.0
325016.3
81210.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31340102040506070801054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2339
#40
16.91.5
16.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3250
#23
16.31.6
14.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3967
#59
6.31.6
7.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
812
#16
10.51.5
10.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3453
#53
3.81.6
7.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
3952
#42
8.01.6
8.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End