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Red118
23331.5
89.8
84632.9
Blue13
41712.8
248930.1
393315.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7055020408010012014011813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#15
32.92.5
30.733.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2489
#17
30.12.2
31.128.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
233
#6
31.52.5
29.131.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
3933
#32
15.13.4
18.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
8
#38
9.82.5
8.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
4171
#59
2.83.7
7.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End