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Red62
11422.0
19235.6
41712.8
Blue102
138836.2
208510.5
10021.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595820408010062102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#8
35.60.2
33.033.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1388
#10
36.22.2
30.532.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
#23
22.00.2
21.221.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
100
#12
21.72.2
19.822.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4171
#59
2.80.3
3.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
2085
#25
10.52.2
8.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End