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Red164
3374.2
46984.9
151944.4
Blue191
61063.0
147762.2
124163.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21018450100150250300350164191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
84.90.7
85.684.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.9
610
Unranked
63.00.0
63.063.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33
Unranked
74.20.7
74.974.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
1241
Unranked
63.00.0
62.963.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1519
Unranked
44.40.7
45.144.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
1477
Unranked
62.20.0
62.162.2
Auto
Teleop
End