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Quarterfinal 3-12013 Colorado Regional
Red62
124515.3
158426.2
197730.7
Blue84
320024.5
449921.3
301313.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755302040601001201401606284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1977
#6
30.70.2
30.5→30.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.2
3200
#11
24.50.5
23.5→24.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1584
#2
26.20.2
26.0→25.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.9
4499
#15
21.30.5
20.3→20.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1245
#33
15.30.2
15.2→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.1
3013
#12
13.20.5
12.3→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—