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Red11
372911.7
22407.3
47236.9
Blue40
133927.8
43873.0
370314.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2827010204050601140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#38
11.71.4
9.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
1339
#18
27.81.1
11.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2240
#44
7.31.4
10.79.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
3703
#25
14.21.1
6.27.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4723
#41
6.91.4
7.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
4387
#48
3.01.1
9.210.3
Auto
Teleop
End