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Red41
17996.8
438832.3
370314.2
Blue35
449921.3
320024.5
459313.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30330102040506070804135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#14
32.30.8
16.917.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
3200
#11
24.50.2
10.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3703
#25
14.20.8
7.38.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
4499
#15
21.30.1
15.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1799
#21
6.80.8
6.67.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
4593
#39
13.40.2
6.66.9
Auto
Teleop
End