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Red5
47236.9
294510.8
66211.4
Blue15
133230.0
372911.7
22752.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31400206080100120515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#31
11.41.4
13.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
1332
#10
30.01.2
24.223.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2945
#40
10.81.4
13.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3729
#38
11.71.9
9.27.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4723
#41
6.92.3
5.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
2275
#36
2.11.9
4.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End