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Red21
459313.4
455010.4
340318.0
Blue2
22752.1
294510.8
42934.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35200406080100212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3403
#19
18.01.0
15.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
2945
#40
10.81.0
12.211.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4593
#39
13.41.0
6.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
4293
#45
4.81.7
7.65.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4550
#30
10.41.0
10.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
2275
#36
2.11.7
2.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End