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Qual 642013 Colorado Regional
Red115
438832.3
299651.2
372911.7
Blue149
133230.0
438616.9
216969.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7987050100150200115149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#3
51.21.7
45.5→47.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 18.7
2169
#4
69.93.2
49.3→52.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4388
#14
32.32.7
28.1→30.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
1332
#10
30.03.2
26.6→29.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3729
#38
11.72.7
6.9→9.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.2
4386
#26
16.94.9
9.7→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—