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Red153
23632.5
69438.5
199132.7
Blue129
216831.7
310419.1
22833.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10178050150200153129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#22
38.50.9
36.737.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
228
#2
33.80.8
33.033.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1991
#16
32.70.9
30.931.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
31.70.8
30.931.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
236
#8
32.51.2
30.131.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
3104
#11
19.11.0
18.019.1
Auto
Teleop
End