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Red54
46287.7
206417.9
55833.6
Blue58
17819.8
83917.2
39511.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73270501001505458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#21
33.60.6
36.535.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
178
#18
19.81.5
15.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2064
#47
17.91.0
18.917.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
839
#14
17.21.2
9.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4628
#49
7.71.0
10.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
395
#29
11.71.5
8.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End