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Red2
39511.7
42548.8
28369.6
Blue95
305925.8
23046.3
17409.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227804060100120140295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#29
11.71.6
9.98.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 34.5
230
#10
46.31.3
40.441.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2836
#46
9.62.4
8.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.3
3059
#50
25.81.4
21.623.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4254
#45
8.82.4
12.29.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1740
#43
9.22.1
7.39.4
Auto
Teleop
End