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Red106
166522.8
2054.6
9995.8
Blue67
83917.2
305925.8
206417.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7256020408010012014010667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#1
54.61.8
50.352.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.8
3059
#50
25.80.4
23.724.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1665
#26
22.83.0
14.517.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
2064
#47
17.90.7
19.620.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
999
#33
5.81.8
4.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
839
#14
17.20.4
15.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End