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Red118
22833.8
206735.3
409721.5
Blue72
169921.5
166522.8
39511.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions823905010015011872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.32.1
30.832.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
1665
#26
22.82.2
17.519.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
#2
33.82.1
28.530.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
1699
#35
21.52.2
19.221.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4097
#34
21.53.5
16.119.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
395
#29
11.71.3
9.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End