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Red24
107115.4
26312.0
371821.9
Blue100
22833.8
42548.8
206417.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4537020608010012024100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3718
#15
21.91.6
12.210.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
228
#2
33.83.1
17.220.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1071
#39
15.41.6
16.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2064
#47
17.95.2
9.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
263
#48
12.01.6
14.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4254
#45
8.85.2
11.216.3
Auto
Teleop
End