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Red2
45725.5
17409.2
22056.5
Blue28
409721.5
11248.3
9514.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23480406080100228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1740
#43
9.21.8
10.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
4097
#34
21.51.1
22.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2205
#52
6.51.8
8.36.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
95
#41
14.40.8
11.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4572
#51
5.51.8
7.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
1124
#54
8.31.1
9.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End