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Red144
2054.6
19545.8
9514.4
Blue119
23632.5
199132.7
69438.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103100050150200250144119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#1
54.60.7
50.751.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
694
#22
38.50.3
37.637.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
195
#6
45.80.7
41.942.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
1991
#16
32.70.3
31.832.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
95
#41
14.40.7
10.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.1
236
#8
32.50.4
31.331.7
Auto
Teleop
End