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Red175
19545.8
9514.4
2054.6
Blue136
199132.7
23632.5
69438.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106101050150200250175136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#1
54.61.2
51.352.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
694
#22
38.50.6
37.938.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
195
#6
45.81.2
42.643.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
1991
#16
32.70.6
32.132.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
95
#41
14.41.2
11.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.1
236
#8
32.50.8
31.732.5
Auto
Teleop
End