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Red147
86258.8
167845.4
14857.2
Blue73
6775.0
191855.5
481421.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16315505010020025030014773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#12
58.80.2
58.958.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
67
#14
75.01.4
76.575.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
#16
57.20.2
57.357.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1918
#69
55.51.4
57.055.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
45.40.2
45.545.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.3
21.11.4
22.621.2
Auto
Teleop
End