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Red193
205690.7
471615.1
171769.7
Blue143
193951.4
86258.8
448822.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18212650100150200250193143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.71.0
90.591.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.9
862
#12
58.80.4
62.062.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
69.71.0
68.969.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.3
1939
#84
51.40.4
51.051.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4716
#83
15.11.0
14.115.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
4488
#37
22.30.4
21.922.3
Auto
Teleop
End