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Red164
293640.0
168447.0
218728.0
Blue144
335413.7
399045.2
154141.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1129050100150200164144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#31
47.02.8
46.048.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3990
#19
45.22.5
43.446.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2936
#15
40.02.8
37.240.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1541
#80
41.02.5
38.541.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2187
#82
28.02.8
25.228.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
3354
#85
13.72.5
11.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End