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Red137
238332.8
382454.5
203929.3
Blue65
12014.5
248940.0
283610.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12654010015020025013765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#10
54.51.1
55.256.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
2489
#45
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2383
#55
32.81.1
31.732.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.2
120
#77
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2039
#22
29.31.1
28.229.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
2836
#93
10.80.0
10.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End