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Red188
96825.2
14857.2
86258.8
Blue120
54017.2
353963.3
10353.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910950150200188120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#12
58.82.7
61.764.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
63.30.3
53.153.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
#16
57.22.7
52.555.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
103
#21
53.40.3
46.046.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
968
#71
25.23.0
20.523.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
540
#44
17.20.5
14.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End