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Red131
448822.3
452327.5
10353.4
Blue107
338728.7
154141.0
13529.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8288050100150200131107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#21
53.42.4
46.348.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
1541
#80
41.01.3
32.834.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4523
#56
27.52.9
20.123.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
135
#66
29.21.0
26.527.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4488
#37
22.32.9
16.519.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
3387
#97
28.71.0
27.928.9
Auto
Teleop
End