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Red158
96751.9
216839.3
62032.1
Blue113
337416.9
192344.4
86258.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106116050150200250158113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#13
51.92.5
46.148.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
862
#12
58.80.1
64.164.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2168
#38
39.32.5
34.637.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
1923
#25
44.40.1
35.635.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
620
#60
32.12.5
26.529.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
3374
#92
16.90.1
14.614.5
Auto
Teleop
End