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Red157
23051.8
154141.0
193951.4
Blue225
131065.7
96751.9
409118.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144116050100200250157225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#32
51.80.9
49.850.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
65.75.2
57.262.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1939
#84
51.40.9
53.554.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
967
#13
51.95.2
48.653.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1541
#80
41.00.9
36.337.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.4
4091
#49
18.65.2
14.519.8
Auto
Teleop
End