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Red131
456433.3
341022.8
86258.8
Blue119
213047.8
306139.6
19343.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12112950100150200250131119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#12
58.80.4
65.265.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
2130
#40
47.80.5
46.746.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33.30.4
33.333.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
193
#59
43.90.5
44.143.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3410
#64
22.80.4
23.924.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.8
3061
#41
39.60.5
37.336.8
Auto
Teleop
End