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Red100
338728.7
446418.0
299651.6
Blue153
14857.2
39937.9
167845.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9414950200250100153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#43
51.60.1
53.153.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
148
#16
57.20.6
59.860.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3387
#97
28.70.1
29.629.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
45.40.6
44.244.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4464
#99
18.00.1
19.819.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.9
399
#20
37.90.6
36.336.9
Auto
Teleop
End