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Red105
412437.2
214547.1
406339.8
Blue136
1641.5
167845.4
448822.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12597050150200105136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#18
47.10.8
46.445.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
45.41.7
44.846.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4063
#29
39.80.8
38.637.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
16
#27
41.51.7
36.838.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4124
#35
37.20.8
35.234.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
4488
#37
22.31.7
20.121.8
Auto
Teleop
End