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Red128
306139.6
39937.9
375338.5
Blue80
415927.0
464616.2
162229.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11859010015020012880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#41
39.61.0
36.837.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
1622
#58
29.10.6
28.629.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3753
#50
38.51.0
35.236.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
4159
#68
27.00.6
25.526.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
399
#20
37.91.0
36.937.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.8
4646
#78
16.20.6
14.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End