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Semifinal 1-32013 Curie Division
Red165
86258.8
14857.2
167845.4
Blue158
96751.9
205690.7
399045.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16619450100150250300350165158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#12
58.80.1
61.961.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.9
90.70.5
91.290.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
#16
57.20.1
60.360.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
967
#13
51.90.5
52.451.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
45.40.1
48.448.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3990
#19
45.20.5
45.745.2
Auto
Teleop
End