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Red16
33912.1
253712.8
253423.4
Blue9
413710.6
296311.5
173122.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31400206080100120169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#10
23.41.4
9.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1731
#28
22.32.5
20.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2537
#30
12.81.4
10.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2963
#21
11.52.5
10.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
339
#35
12.11.1
12.311.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
4137
#31
10.62.5
8.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End